Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 7.509782 8.602254 9.814704 11.262933 12.949460 14.855924 17.180527
2025-02-23 5.957154 7.338895 8.999409 11.152272 13.884621 17.256502 21.763171
2025-03-02 5.020022 6.517033 8.422843 11.047030 14.597652 19.278868 25.990868
2025-03-09 4.338243 5.872747 7.918870 10.877286 15.095652 20.970279 29.904321
2025-03-16 3.793169 5.319208 7.435320 10.625119 15.383297 22.332181 33.459935
2025-03-23 3.562277 5.163100 7.466130 11.077387 16.701124 25.298067 39.772606
2025-03-30 3.287963 4.905721 7.309840 11.213947 17.532104 27.596228 45.330367
2025-04-06 3.008814 4.607016 7.052110 11.150113 18.017535 29.375424 50.246216
2025-04-13 2.756461 4.321694 6.780979 11.024445 18.369344 30.950113 54.996829
2025-04-20 2.631245 4.224345 6.795279 11.363689 19.535024 34.041528 62.916413
2025-04-27 2.501670 4.105760 6.759756 11.607353 20.550378 36.974466 70.955761
2025-05-04 2.418177 4.055335 6.831197 12.041090 21.952153 40.780951 81.283105
2025-05-11 2.217111 3.787710 6.507460 11.733465 21.944023 41.924295 86.399793
2025-05-18 2.067793 3.598336 6.305000 11.629704 22.316001 43.861908 93.521253
2025-05-25 1.932948 3.423076 6.111494 11.520606 22.659543 45.775378 100.884330
2025-06-01 1.802211 3.244255 5.895164 11.342955 22.838098 47.355910 107.725890
2025-06-08 1.673070 3.057950 5.648597 11.078922 22.801960 48.459880 113.600726
2025-06-15 1.642969 3.057179 5.757704 11.552510 24.406807 53.422092 129.847413
2025-06-22 1.577009 2.981268 5.712152 11.695525 25.294214 56.852101 142.785322
2025-06-29 1.493881 2.864898 5.575631 11.628672 25.694406 59.177346 153.196910
2025-07-06 1.410849 2.742486 5.416841 11.497067 25.927410 61.123450 162.912972
2025-07-13 1.380295 2.724707 5.473301 11.852353 27.363667 66.272641 182.721702
2025-07-20 1.341949 2.687703 5.485755 12.107570 28.585106 71.041017 202.360676